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View Diary: Congressional Race Ratings (12 May 2012) (100 comments)

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  •  The common thread I'm seeing... (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jncca, atdnext, James Allen, MichaelNY, wdrath

    In the presidential, Senate, and House races is that Democrats are favored in the first two (for a majority) and Republicans are favored in the last one (to keep their majority), but in all three, the other party has a fighting chance if everything goes its way.

    Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary. Fired up! Ready to go!

    by SaoMagnifico on Sun May 13, 2012 at 08:33:15 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Yeah (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, James Allen, SaoMagnifico

      we're not getting the House short of a political wave that shores up all our vulnerable seats and knocks a ton of lean GOP seats our way.  However, it's entirely possible that such a wave does happen...the Republican Party is at historically bad approval ratings nationally, their presidential nominee is also unpopular, and there is backlash against the GOP House.

      But if that wave fails to materialize, and we just win seats based on our candidates and the PVI of the seats, we're probably headed for like a 10 seat gain.

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