Skip to main content

View Diary: New Daily Kos/PPP poll shows Wisconsin gubernatorial recall picture unchanged (290 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Primary (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gpack3, Odysseus, wdrath, Larsstephens

    You only need to look at the recall primary to see how inaccurate polls can be. PPP had Barret over Falk by 14 points, but the actual result election night was a 24 point spread.

    Many people keep saying that "republicans didn't have any reason to get out and vote" during the primary, but Walker, the GOP, and right wing talk radio had been campaigning for people to get out and vote to show support for weeks. This was a contested primary to Republicans, because just as many Republicans turned out to vote in the recall primary as turned out in the 2010 GOP Gubernatorial primary.

    Even with the strong turn out by Republicans the Walker opponents still out performed the Walker supporters by 5.7 percent.

    That number is consistent with the Lt. Governor vote where the Republicans didn't have a primary, but could vote in the Dem primary. Mahlon Mitchell defeated both of his opponents, a real opponent (Ira Robbins) and a GOP picked fake candidate (Isaac Weix), by 4 percentage points. I know plenty of Walker opponents who voted for Robbins over Mitchell because they thought he lacked experience. So it should be assumed that wen Republicans reached that line they split their votes between Weix and Robbins.

    I have nothing to say.

    by calistan on Tue May 15, 2012 at 02:21:54 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site