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View Diary: New Daily Kos/PPP poll shows Wisconsin gubernatorial recall picture unchanged (290 comments)

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  •  I am not saying it is crap, (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Supavash, Larsstephens

    I am saying that it is assuming a turnout scenario that is more Republican than 2010, which I think is incorrect. I think a 2004 scenario would be more likely.  I could be wrong, but I would not buy into the doom and gloom of people on here (speaking of which, can we only post these on DKE in future or at least a DKE separate post).  If Barrett is leading independents by 7, then this is largely a matter of turnout, which we knew all along was going to be a challenge.

    All Wisconsin, All the Time, Social Democrat, currently NY-23 (College: Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations), WI-05 (Home)

    by glame on Tue May 15, 2012 at 03:00:00 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Thanks for providing a reason (0+ / 0-)

      Some posters in this thread have been saying that it's crap, without providing a reason. At least one even strongly implied that PPP is lying.

      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

      by MichaelNY on Tue May 15, 2012 at 04:17:11 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I love the way these PPP polls (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, Supavash

        are "soooo acurate and great" when they show Obama's approval rating up, or him leading in some swing state,...but "they suck" when we learn what some of us have known for months - that Walker has at or very near 50% support.  You cannot have it both ways.  Either PPP is a great, accurate pollster, which I happen to think they are,...or they're no better and/or accurate than anybody else.

        I believe the poll.  I think Walker wins 49-47, and may actually crack 50%.

        And, only a fool would believe that Romney won't close this election by November.  I still think Obama wins Wisnconsin, though.

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