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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Trio of dueling internal polls causes a (New) Mexican standoff (96 comments)

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  •  Questions About Delegate Counts (0+ / 0-)

    The AP is reporting that Romney is only 120 delegates away from the 1,144 needed to cinch the GOP nomination.

    How can the AP assert this, since many delegates are not actually chosen until state conventions that have not occurred yet? How does AP get their numbers?

    It seems to me that Ron Paul has been taking delegates previously "won" by Romney in the "1st round". While I'm not a Ron Paul fan, his supporters claim that Romney has actually won a lot less.

    "Real" Delegate Count

    How can these too sets of numbers be reconciled? Does anyone know?

    •  Delegates (0+ / 0-)

      that Romney won in Nevada and in the primary states are required to vote for Romney in the 1st round. Those delegates might be Ron Paul supporters, but they still have to vote for Romney regardless of whether or not they support Paul.

      Obama/Biden 2012: Keep America moving forward not backwards.

      by ehstronghold on Wed May 23, 2012 at 07:03:36 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Bound delegates (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Christopher Walker

      The majority of states bind delegates to primary/caucus vote results.  Delegates, no matter who they say they support, are required to vote for the candidate they are bound to on the first ballot.  

      A good example is Nevada.  Per the caucus results, Romney won 20 bould delegates while Paul won 8 bound delegates.  When the actual delegates were selected at the state convention, Paulbots took over and got 22 Paul supporters and 3 Romney supporters as delegates.  However, most of those Paul supporters as still bound to vote for Romney on the first ballot.  Paulbots count these as their delegates, even though they will never get a chance to vote for Paul and the media counts them as Romney delegates, since that is who they are bound to vote for.

      NY-22 (old and new)

      by elucas730 on Wed May 23, 2012 at 07:07:36 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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