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View Diary: Abbreviated Pundit Round-up: More Wisconsin analysis, public aware of the issues (122 comments)

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  •  I suppose a polling insider would get that (0+ / 0-)

    and I realize this site - from the top down - is big on polling so I guess most readers would be savvy to that.

    Myself, I'm a bit cynical about polling (heck, either the race is so clear cut that even * I * could predict the winner, or when it's actually a close race, the polling seems to be wrong as often as it is correct) so I typically think  "why bother?" and skip over to something else.

    •  sorry that I missed this reply (0+ / 0-)

      Honestly, I think it's probably better to have the "hey, whatever" attitude than to obsess about the details. I think the deets can be very interesting, but sometimes people lose all perspective.

      That said, I think that polling is very useful for figuring out which races are "so clear cut." It's even substantially better than coin-flipping for the close races, especially if you can compare several polls. But a lot can go wrong that isn't reflected in the nominal "margin of error."

      I agree that McDonald was writing for people who would probably know what he meant, and not thinking so much about people who wouldn't. Communication is hard.

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