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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Should you care more about national polls, or state polls? (69 comments)

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  •  I am haunted by the ghosts (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike

    of past campaigns where huge Democratic leads in the summer blew away with the autumn leaves. Dukakis, foe example.

    The universe may have a meaning and a purpose, but it may just specifically not include you.

    by Anne Elk on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:04:24 PM PDT

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    •  Obama is no Dukakis. (9+ / 0-)

      If you listen to fools, the Mob Rules

      by CO Democrat on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 10:21:35 PM PDT

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    •  You refer to his post-convention bounce (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      itskevin, askew, EcosseNJ

      one poll said he was up 17, but it wasn't a typical result. At this point impressions about Obama are largely set. Dukakis was a blank slate, and he did not respond to the attacks  that set him back.

    •  Dukakis isn't an example, he's alone (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Davidsfr

      Dukakis is the only time in my adult life Dems blew a summer lead.

      Kerry was in a tossup, never had a real lead, it was all margin-of-error in national polling and the battleground state polls all revealed a tough path to 270.  I disregarded it then, and learned my lesson:  the map is what matters.n hin

      Carter "blew" a summer lead, but in hindsight the conditions then were a disaster for him, nothing affecting any Democrat since then.

      Clinton in '92 trailed most of the year and took the lead only at and after the convention.

      They're really isn't a Dukakis example besides Dukakis himself.

      44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Sat Jun 23, 2012 at 05:06:05 PM PDT

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