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View Diary: Orange to Blue: Daily Kos endorses Ami Bera in California's 7th Congressional District (56 comments)

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  •  I'm saying both the polling wasn't dead on (1+ / 0-)
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    GradyDem

    and that -8 to -14 could be noise, and that swings like that seldom happen, and that thinking without Rove at all that he could climb from -8 three weeks from the election to win in a district where Durston lost by -7.

    Put another way, he was down by 8 points three weeks before the election, in his own more-likely-than-not-favorable-to-him internal polling.  He was 95% likely to lose.  Blaming it on Rove is silly.

    And then I'm also saying, did he not know this could happen?  Did he think he was entitled to spend more money than Lungren?

    The comments were unattractive sour grapes, blame the boogieman, and unrealistic.  At every point in this race in 2010 he was 95%+ likely to lose.  Not a good idea to pretend otherwise.

    Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

    by tommypaine on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 02:54:17 PM PDT

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    •  Maybe better way to put it (0+ / 0-)

      Not so much on DKE, but on Kos there is a lot of boogieman talk, as if Karl Rove can turn any race by spending money.

      The boogieman did not cause Bera to lose in 2010.  he lost because he ran in a Republican district in a republican year against a stronger than average Republican candidate.  He lost because he had almost no chance of winning.

      The type of comment I want to see is: "We ran the best race we could in a very tough district, but came up short.  We were encouraged by how well we did, and look forward to running in a district created by the citizen's redistricting commission.  Blah blah..."

      Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

      by tommypaine on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 03:04:56 PM PDT

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      •  You do understand (0+ / 0-)

        Why someone would make comments like that for public consumption, right? That running against Rove is very helpful with donors?

        Political Director, Daily Kos

        by David Nir on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 03:22:11 PM PDT

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        •  No I don't (0+ / 0-)

          If a Republican said the equivalent about the DCCC everybody would laugh at the tool-ish comment.  Making yourself look silly is not a good tactic.

          The same mentioning of Rove's money dump could have been done without the whiney boogiemanism.  

          Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

          by tommypaine on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 08:21:34 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

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