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View Diary: Rangel skullduggery? Primary do-over? Enthusiasm gap reason #973. (15 comments)

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  •  That's all sensible except for one thing! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lorikeet

    Political predictions have to pass a narrative test and not just a statistical one, because they're not random processes.  You have to be able to show us four or more races where Dems could lose.

    Romney '12: Bully for America!

    by Rich in PA on Wed Jul 04, 2012 at 05:53:16 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Geez. (0+ / 0-)

      OK, click the Wikipedia link. And again, Wikipedia is just the most convenient place to get this bare factual info; I'm not relying on it for any insight or analysis. Wiki shows the following--I've italicized the ones that, off the top of my head, should be tough seats for Dems to keep:

      4.1 Democrats/Independents retiring

      4.1.1 Joe Lieberman of Connecticut (Independent)
      4.1.2 Daniel Akaka of Hawaii
      4.1.3 Ben Nelson of Nebraska
      4.1.4 Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico
      4.1.5 Kent Conrad of North Dakota
      4.1.6 Jim Webb of Virginia
      4.1.7 Herb Kohl of Wisconsin

      4.2 Democrats/Independents seeking re-election

      4.2.1 Dianne Feinstein of California
      4.2.2 Tom Carper of Delaware
      4.2.3 Bill Nelson of Florida
      4.2.4 Ben Cardin of Maryland
      4.2.5 Debbie Stabenow of Michigan
      4.2.6 Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota
      4.2.7 Claire McCaskill of Missouri
      4.2.8 Jon Tester of Montana
      4.2.9 Bob Menendez of New Jersey

      4.2.10 Kirsten Gillibrand of New York
      4.2.11 Sherrod Brown of Ohio
      4.2.12 Bob Casey, Jr. of Pennsylvania

      4.2.13 Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island
      4.2.14 Bernie Sanders of Vermont (Independent)
      4.2.15 Maria Cantwell of Washington
      4.2.16 Joe Manchin of West Virginia

      I would love to be wrong. If you think I'm wrong, how about getting on Google and contributing some information?

      "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

      by HeyMikey on Wed Jul 04, 2012 at 12:00:39 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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