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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Holy shnikeys! Elizabeth Warren raises $8.7 million! (130 comments)

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  •  Mitt and Latinos (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus

    If Mitt is going to lose Latinos as badly as he's losing them in Nevada he's toast.  A 49% margin?  That means Obama is getting 75% of the Latino vote or close to it.  Anything over 70% and Mitt is done.  States like CO, NV, NM, FL and so on are out of his reach.  States like AZ and TX are suddenly too close for comfort.  

    This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

    by DisNoir36 on Tue Jul 10, 2012 at 06:09:52 AM PDT

    •  Can't extrapolate like that (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Audrid, KingTag, dufffbeer, jncca, pademocrat

      ESPECIALLY to Florida, where the Cubans have next to nothing in common with the Mexicans found in Nevada

      •  I always cringe when people extrapolate crosstabs (6+ / 0-)

        across state or especially regional lines. If Democrats ever won 75% of the Hispanic Vote in Texas, the electoral map would look a LOT different. But the fact or the matter is Texas Hispanics don't vote like California Hispanics. its akin to taking a poll of White voters and saying "Obama gets 70% of the white vote in Vermont, therefore he can win 70% of the white vote in Mississippi". it just doesn't work like that. The same can be said of other races as well. For instance in Oklahoma the Native Americans are a core REPUBLICAN constituency, where that would be unfathomable in North Dakota. the only rave that it sort of works with is the black community, which is 95% Democratic in every state.

        •  if Obama wins Hispanics 75% nationwide (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          stevenaxelrod

          though, chances are he's doing well with Puerto Ricans and Venezuelans, plenty of whom live in Florida.

          Male, currently staying in CA-24. Voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

          by sapelcovits on Tue Jul 10, 2012 at 07:24:12 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  What's Your Source On Oklahoma Native Americans? (0+ / 0-)

          I've noticed that the counties with the highest Native American populations in OK are more likely to be the Democratic-leaning counties.

          •  Can't really do a web search on my Droid at work (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            bumiputera, Mark27

            But the difference between Oklahoma native Americans, particularly the Osage Nation and Native Americans elsewhere was alarmingly stark. Wiki may have a good link on the subject. And that is not to say that White Oklahomans are less Republican than the Native Americans, but Republicans win the Native vote by fair margins, which is unheard of elsewhere in the country.

    •  The problem is ` (0+ / 0-)

      that in AZ and TX the electoriate is polarized over immigration, and it doesn't help.  

      The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

      by fladem on Tue Jul 10, 2012 at 06:41:00 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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