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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Holy shnikeys! Elizabeth Warren raises $8.7 million! (130 comments)

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  •  I think Cook reads DKE (4+ / 0-)

    as he even joined us in commentary at SSP on occasion.

    "I hope; therefore, I can live."
    For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

    by tietack on Tue Jul 10, 2012 at 06:39:45 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I know that Nate Silver does (0+ / 0-)

      he had an account at SSP even

    •  well he should really (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      dufffbeer

      I know he has a lot of insider sources but there's a collective wisdom here that he and other commentators could probably benefit from.

      At any rate his most recent version of the state rankings (from July 2) is a lot more credible than some of the earlier editions. He moved PA from tossup to lean O and Maine and New Mexico both shifted from "lean" to "likely". I can't think there was too much data from those 3 in that period so maybe he paid some attention to the hammering he was taking here and no doubt some other places. I would have kept NC as "tossup" rather than "lean R" but accept there was a fair bit of supportive polling for Romney in that period so the change wasn't so surprising. 247 EVs is precisely where I would currently put it for Obama, though I'm also optimistic about most of the "tossups", especially NV and VA.

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