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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Watch out for this dangerous new ballot measure in Michigan (127 comments)

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  •  I'm surprised & skeptical this hurts Berkley (1+ / 0-)
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    David Nir

    There's not really any wait-and-see attitude on Ralston's or other political reporters' part.  They think Berkley is toast.  Ralston says "not quite" but really the whole tone of his story is she's probably toast, he's just slightly less certain of it.

    The thing that makes me still skeptical is Heller's own attack ad that Ralston linked.  Heller attacks Berkley's ethics matter but never says what it's about.  His ad talks loosely of her using her office for financial gain, but without mentioning at all any substance.  That's really rare in an attack ad hitting on ethics...any such attack ad I can recall always includes a soundbite on substance.  There will be, for a made-up example, a line such as "Congressman Bob Smith helped get a government contract for a construction company that gave him a political contribution and also a discount on building his home."  Something, anything, to identify what the whole thing is about.  But Heller's ad doesn't mention it.

    And I know why:  it's because any mention of kidney transplant center or Berkley's husband being a kidney transplant doctor instantly makes her more sympathetic.

    That's the thing I can't get around.  Heller's own ad implicitly admits you can't talk about the issue itself without disarming the attack.

    I think Ralston and national pundits are making a lot of premature and IMO unfounded assumptions about how this plays with voters.

    I could be wrong about that, but I don't buy it that this hurts Berkley unless and until polling actually says so.

    44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Wed Jul 11, 2012 at 10:36:32 AM PDT

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    •  Could be Blumenthal all over again (1+ / 0-)
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      Though Heller > McMahon and CT is more D than NV.

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Wed Jul 11, 2012 at 11:10:56 AM PDT

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    •  My feelings as well (1+ / 0-)
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      Though you articulated it better than I would have. I think this is a bit like Romney being literally the worst Republican in America to fight Obama on Obamacare. Heller's tied up in this, too.

      Political Director, Daily Kos

      by David Nir on Wed Jul 11, 2012 at 02:29:48 PM PDT

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