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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Are there upsets in store next month in the state of Michigan? (130 comments)

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  •  Exactly. (4+ / 0-)

    The Bain attacks fit into a larger narrative that the Obama campaign will continue until November.

    While we complain about the outside spending that Republicans are doing, one advantage that the Obama team will have (because most of their spending is being done directly rather than relying on outside groups to do the spending for them) is that they are better prepared to hammer on a single narrative, rather than the Republicans, who have so many different outside groups that they "aren't allowed" to coordinate with and therefore will have a more difficult time to create a single narrative.  It's the economy!  No, wait, it's health care!  Or the budget deficit!

    28, white male, TX-26 (current), TN-09 (born), TN-08 (where parents live now)

    by TDDVandy on Mon Jul 16, 2012 at 08:01:20 PM PDT

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    •  The money is offset by the material available (5+ / 0-)

      You can do only so much with whatever material you have.  In the GOP's case, voters already have their own opinions of Obama and the economy, and there's not much a TV ad can do to move the needle.  It's not nothing, but it's not much.  On anything but the economy, there's not a lot of good material.  Health care is still good material for Team Red, but it's of marginal help at best.  The deficits and debt are similarly helpful, perhaps more than health care because voters vaguely connect them to the economy.  But all that stuff already is largely baked into the cake, ads can't move the needle much.  Obama otherwise is a clean man on ethics and politics, and voters won't buy any corruption meme.

      But Romney is more of a blank slate and has a lot of things that are easily exploited by a skilled campaign, which Obama has.

      Outspent or not, Obama just has a lot more material against Romney that can help on TV than Romney and his allies have against Obama.  That's what we're really seeing now, and it's why our modestly-funded superpacs are so much more effective than the supermassive spending by the GOP superpacs and other indie groups.

      44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Mon Jul 16, 2012 at 08:17:02 PM PDT

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      •  Bain is just a part of a larger narrative.. (4+ / 0-)

        Romney has had to spend time RESPONDING to Bain and the rquests for his tax returns that is time that he really can't spend time attacking Obama on Obama's most percieved weaknesses the economy and deficit. The adds are working if they make him respond instead of him making Obama respond to his attacks. It seems that already that Obama's attacks are making Romney change his story bringing up Kerry & McCain tax returns then when it turned out that both had been releasing returns for 20 or more years he turned to attacking Kerry's wife for not releasing hers when she didn't run for president her husband did,all of this doesn't out Romney in a very good light now does it? I'm thinking the narrative that Bush set in 2004,i.e. that Kerry was a flip-flopper.

      •  Plus there's only so much ad space (3+ / 0-)

        In most of the swing states where it matters, a lot of the ad space has already been bought up by the campaigns.

        Plus people are probably going to get sick of the ads and will probably tune them out.

        I hate anecdotes in these discussions. That said, here's an anecdote. I live in North Florida. Romney spent a ton of money here winning the Republican primary. The night before the election I watched the evening news and 7 out of 10 ads was the same anti-Gingrich Romney attack ad. The next day Gingrich won my county and most of North Florida.

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