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View Diary: Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation poll: Obama moves into two-point lead over Romney (68 comments)

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  •  agreed... (2+ / 0-)
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    hyperstation, dackmont

    you're are quite correct.  what i should've said is that we should have little confidence (less even than 95%) that there is any significant difference between posting a "46-46% tie" and a "48-46% lead" (no matter how much we wish it were otherwise).

    but even assuming that the error is normally distributed remains an assumption.

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