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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Race in Connecticut's 5th heats up on both sides (35 comments)

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  •  I would guess he needs... (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    The Caped Composer, Woody, itskevin, IM, Sylv

    ...to try to keep his losses down in southern Indiana.

    There should be elevated black turnout with Obama on the ballot, and he should be able to goose northern Indiana turnout without too much trouble based on having represented the area.  The hard part might be making sure he doesn't get clobbered by supermassive margins closer to Kentucky.

    But that's just my guess, there are plenty here smarter than me on Indiana.

    What puzzles me is the still-sky-high undecideds at this stage.  We're now less than 3 months out, and close to 20% still on the fence is weird for a U.S. Senate race.  It's not like these guys are nobodies, Mourdock is a state elected official who got name rec from taking down Lugar, and Donnelly is a 2-term Congressman.  Donnelly has a real opening here, but at some point he needs to pop into the mid-40s.

    44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Thu Aug 09, 2012 at 06:15:42 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I've said this before, but (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bumiputera, DCCyclone, askew

      I think being a statewide elected official earns you almost bupkes in name rec unless you're a governor or a senator. And Donnelly being a three-term (he was elected in 2006) congressman doesn't offer him any name rec either. However, the GOP Senate primary should have given Mourdock a proper name rec boost. Beating Lugar was a BFD, and there were a lot of ads run on his behalf.

      So ultimately, I agree the high undies are weird, but weirder w/r/t Mourdock. Smells like a bit of a problem for him.

      Political Director, Daily Kos

      by David Nir on Thu Aug 09, 2012 at 10:00:15 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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