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View Diary: Sunshine State Showdowns: A Guide to the 2012 Congressional Races in Florida (23 comments)

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  •  I'd quibble with a few of those (3+ / 0-)
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    Darth Jeff, Alibguy, MichaelNY

    The Space Coast is very redneck and Posey is well known and well entrenched in that area.

    The problem with FL-7 is that Mica is going to win. He's the type who could reliably hold that seat all the way up to 53, 54% Obama. Maybe in 10 years.

    The 2nd is racially polarized and has a heavily black primary electorate and a Southern white general electorate. Southerland honestly shouldn't have much trouble holding it for a while.

    Buchanan's district is rich, white old folks. Ethics murmuring is one thing, but it usually takes criminal charges to torpedo comfortable incumbents in a general election. A well-connected Republican may knock him out in a primary, though.

    (-2.38, -3.28) Independent thinker

    by TrueBlueDem on Fri Aug 10, 2012 at 12:30:17 PM PDT

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    •  I said nothing about Posey (1+ / 0-)
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      Darth Jeff

      I was talking Daniel Webster's Orlando-area district.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Fri Aug 10, 2012 at 01:06:46 PM PDT

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