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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Busted by Democrats, Crossroads pulls bogus ad off the air (92 comments)

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  •  I wonder if Obama or allies will respond (1+ / 0-)
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    spiderdem

    It wouldn't be good if a normally reliable (at the presidential level) state slipped out of neglect, as IN did for the Republicans in 2008.

    That said it's rather hard to see any of WI, PA, MI being really critical for the election unless they start moving much closer to the national polling averages than they have been so far. Currently they all look like they might conceivably be winnable if Romney has a national lead of about +3 or better, but if he gets to +3 then he is almost certainly already getting 270 EV elsewhere first.

    Nate Silver currently pegs Romney's chances of winning PA, WI or MI as under 15% - similar to Obama's odds of winning MO or MT. In both cases, still conceivable if the polls shift significantly in one direction or the other, but long shots and unlikely to make a difference to the overall outcome.

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