Skip to main content

View Diary: Minnesota Primary Post-Mortem: MN-8 (17 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Mixed bag (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    RuralLiberal, Vatexia

    If the premise is that Nolan should have won by a larger margin but didn't because of "attack ads" then I think the DFL should be a little alarmed. Cravaack is going to run nothing but attack ads between now and November. Hopefully the real reason this was close was because Clark and Anderson are awfully good candidates in their own right and people were split pretty evenly.

    I never bought the mock outrage over Clark moving into the district. The district line is maybe 25 miles north of St Cloud?? And when you are running against a guy who lives in New Hampshire come on.

    On the positive side, I think Nolan is strong in areas of the 8th that democrats didn't fare well in in 2010. His base is Crow Wing (I think he's from Crosby) and he performed well on the surrounding counties of Aitkin (I would have put this in the North Woods column since its not really a range county), Morrison, Cass, and Mille Lacs. I think if Nolan can cut Cravaack's margin here he wins.

    Thanks for the diary!

    Overall I would have been happy with any of the 3 and hopefully democrats rally around the winner and we put MN-08 back in the blue column!

    •  Thanks for the 2% of a dollar (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      RuralLiberal, angry marmot

      A couple things.

      Cravaack will certainly be running attack ads, but there is a difference between that and going nuclear on your primary opponents the week before the primary election because your polls are showing you losing.

      You'd be surprised about the fact that her not being from the district is a BFD. It is not mock outrage at all. She simply was not "one of them", and it showed.

      I agree that Nolan is going to be stronger in areas the Democrats haven't done so well in recently. It wouldn't surprise me to see him carry Crow Wing County, which is a county McCain carried by 8 against Obama, and Coleman won by 9 over Franken. If Nolan wins Crow Wing, the race is already over.

      •  Additionally (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        Nolan also performed better than I would have expected in the southern part of the district. The fact that he won Chisago County and did well in Isanti really gives Nolan the ability to say he was by far the most competitive candidate in all the diverse areas of the district.

        Clark needed to dominate the southern half but didn't even win in a majority of the counties.

        It certainly was a well earned victory.

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site