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View Diary: Michael's Senate ratings, 8/19/2012 (48 comments)

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  •  You're quite a bit more pessimistic than I am (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    atdnext, The Caped Composer

    Do you see a Republican wave? I think your ratings suggest a Romney victory and a small Republican wave, and I am predicting an Obama victory and (in an abundance of caution) no wave but slight Democratic gains.

    Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

    by MichaelNY on Sun Aug 19, 2012 at 02:52:16 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  No (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      I'm currently projecting a three seat GOP net gain. I wouldn't call that a wave. And I have the presidential race still tilting to Obama. I just think there won't be much ticket splitting and I try to believe the polls.

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Mon Aug 20, 2012 at 03:54:03 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The "Likely D" line (0+ / 0-)

        is part of what made your predictions look like at least a small Republican wave to me. And CT as Lean D only? On the other hand, NE as Likely R is also dubious to me.

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Mon Aug 20, 2012 at 04:33:59 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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