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View Diary: Political Geography, Part 1: The Northeast (39 comments)

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  •  new suburbs (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sawolf, killjoy, Shockwave

    Think of well-educated economically-Republican mcmansion-filled suburbs that sprung up recently.  They are still very Republican but Obama definitely outperformed local Republicans in them.  They send Republicans to their state governments because they don't want their taxes to help the poor parts of their states, but they are somewhat more likely to vote for presidential Democrats because the national Republican platform scares them.  That explains what you saw in western New Jersey; Frederick County and northern Baltimore County; the area between Philadelphia and York; and probably even the scattered blue precincts around Pittsburgh.

    •  Yeah this is a pattern I've noticed across (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      dufffbeer, Shockwave

      most of the country.  Obama does slightly better in urban areas, particularly so if there was a large black population (or if Democrats didn't already get 99% there), he does about 3-4% better in certain suburban areas, then underperforms significantly in rural areas.  Obviously there are exceptions, but that pattern holds up fairly well nationwide.

      It's like whenever on DKE we've discussed what the hell an Obama/Allen voter looks like in Virginia, I have to stop myself and think that it's still probably going to happen just due to partisanship patterns in suburbs.

      NC-06/NC-04; -9.00, -8.41; progress through pragmatism

      by sawolf on Tue Aug 21, 2012 at 04:31:06 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  This is a really useful subthread (0+ / 0-)

        dufffbeer, thanks for explaining this:

        Think of well-educated economically-Republican mcmansion-filled suburbs that sprung up recently.[...]They send Republicans to their state governments because they don't want their taxes to help the poor parts of their states, but they are somewhat more likely to vote for presidential Democrats because the national Republican platform scares them.

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Thu Aug 23, 2012 at 12:36:23 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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