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View Diary: StephenCLE's House Baseline - FINAL (16 comments)

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  •  As a general question (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV, MichaelNY

    Why do you suppose democratic turnout was so depressed during the top-2 primaries in California this year?  And is the root cause anything that we need to be paying attention towards in November, or does it go away with the presidency being on the ballot?

    •  CA primary turnout has always been low (3+ / 0-)
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      sacman701, lordpet8, MichaelNY

          It is worth looking at, but is mostly indicative of low interest in politics especially without any marquee races. The dismal turnout is always worse on the Democratic side and neither of the statewide races were heavily contested. Obama was completely unopposed in his race and DiFi was up against 23 Some Dudes (including all parties).

           We follow politics closely but most Californians don't think as much about the House and Assembly primaries. Also there was only one high profile ballot measure (the tobacco tax increase)  in the June primary. It was the kind of election that occasional or irregular voters are likely to skip. A higher portion of GOP voters vote every election while there are more irregular voters among Democratic voters. The challenge is to get enough of those voters to the polls in November to win the close candidate races and the key ballot measures.

      Diehard Swingnut, disgruntled Democrat, age 54, new CA-30

      by Zack from the SFV on Tue Aug 21, 2012 at 08:39:03 PM PDT

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    •  what Zack said (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      lordpet8, MichaelNY

      Also, primary turnout skews old and white, which means GOP even more than in a typical state.

      SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

      by sacman701 on Tue Aug 21, 2012 at 09:59:28 PM PDT

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