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View Diary: Climate SOS! Witnessing the Outer Banks Drown & Drawing the Line at 20ft Sea Level Rise (54 comments)

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  •  3mm/yr, a foot per century. No acceleration for (0+ / 0-)

    past 20 years.

    Also, the NCAR drought projections are model outputs that may or may not have anything to do with reality.  I'm sure you are all aware of the North American historical and paleo-climate drought records, which show no trend, or perhaps a slightly wetter present.  Epic droughts, far worse than we see today, have occurred repeatedly during the Holocene in NA.

    Where are we, now that we need us most?

    by Frank Knarf on Thu Aug 23, 2012 at 07:49:21 PM PDT

    •  Sea level rise is faster n of Cape Hatterras (6+ / 0-)

      I wrote about the situation on the east coast a few months back.

      The continued loss of sea ice will increase the temperatures in the Arctic and the melt rate of Greenland through the albedo reduction feedback loop. Global sea level rise rates will go up. As Greg Laden's post described, sea level has risen rapidly in the past.

      No model is perfect but it's very clear the southwest is warming and drying rapidly. Now the mountain west is on fire. These models have been right about the southwest.

      I would prefer to have a safety margin on the side of plentiful food and water.

      look for my eSci diary series Thursday evening.

      by FishOutofWater on Thu Aug 23, 2012 at 11:03:54 PM PDT

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    •  I appreciate your repeated efforts to cool over- (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      enthusiasm, however, most climate scientists see the fingerprint of climate change in this year's heat and drought. (Yes the SW and West have seen 100+ yr droughts in the distant past.)

      Sea level change is a forward projection, past 20 years aren't going to tell us much.

      Even if I knew that tomorrow the world would go to pieces, I would still plant my apple tree. -Martin Luther

      by the fan man on Fri Aug 24, 2012 at 04:30:36 AM PDT

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