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View Diary: Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation poll: Barack Obama takes six-point lead over Mitt Romney (63 comments)

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  •  Because the voter files from Aristotle (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    eps62, askew

    Inform them of that.

    And what's the issue with that breakdown? If you're concerned about the roundness of the numbers, that's just an artifact of the weighting process, as explained in our methodology statement:

    Using a statistical formula to weight the results can result in a round number of respondents in each demographic category because the Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation Poll generally has a base of 1,000 respondents. However, an examination of the raw data (which is also provided each week) demonstrates that this pattern does not exist at the individual respondent level, but rather is merely a by-product of weighting.

    Political Director, Daily Kos

    by David Nir on Tue Aug 28, 2012 at 09:52:09 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Note: PPP does not weight for party identification (0+ / 0-)
      (Note: PPP does not weight for party identification.)
      That is from your methodology statement.

      The raw data says :

                            Raw #    %
      Democrat              377     37.7
      Republican            356     35.6
      Independent/Other     267     26.7

      Yet, the party identification numbers presented are clearly weighted.  Or, only data conforming to the desired equal breakdown was thrown out for other reasons. It is rather hard to believe randomness produced a 350/350/300 party breakdown.

      •  If you prefer to believe (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Delilah, askew, Vote4Obamain2012

        That we're lying, rather than that PPP's normal procedures (which do not involve party weighting), are responsible for this result, I'm afraid there's little I can say.

        Political Director, Daily Kos

        by David Nir on Tue Aug 28, 2012 at 10:11:25 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  well, no.. I think some mistake may have been (0+ / 0-)

          made somewhere along the line..  Or, more likely,I don't understand something about how all this is put together.

          Like why the raw numbers don't jibe with your statement that a high percentage identified themselves as Dems (46 percent vs raw percent of 37.7).  

          But, as my time for having fun with polls numbers is up for today, I'll check back later..

          Thanks!

    •  Women vote in a higher proportion than men (0+ / 0-)

      I think women were 52% of the vote in 2008.  This time it may be even higher.  I'm curious if gender gap got bigger.

      The scientific uncertainty doesn't mean that climate change isn't actually happening.

      by Mimikatz on Tue Aug 28, 2012 at 11:26:21 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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