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View Diary: Nate Silver: Obama has a 71.6% Chance of Winning the Election (162 comments)

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  •  When Obama won Florida in (18+ / 0-)

    2008, Charlie Christ was the GOP governor. Christ, unlike most GOP governors, actually believes in encouraging people to vote, and helped pave the way for massive early voting (as well as breaking ranks with the GOP and allowing ex-cons to vote). Today we have Rick Scott, who we know is going to ensure that every trick in the GOP's playbook is used to both squelch the overall vote as well as to try to crack down on Obama voters specifically. I'm pretty sure that there is nothing this guy wouldn't do, if he thought he could get away with it, to cheat Obama out of Florida's electoral votes. In other words, if Obama wins FL by a small margin, he loses. He's got to win decisively.

    •  Crist's endorsement could help if he backs it up (7+ / 0-)

      with some campaigning.  I'm assuming that he's still popular enough to be an asset.  

      An article I read about McConnell, the Senate Minority Leader said that he opposed bipartisanship because it would make Democratic bills more popular with the public.

      I think it would help Obama if Crist appeared with him at  campaign stops in Florida.

      "Those who deny freedom to others, deserve it not for themselves." - Abraham Lincoln

      by leftreborn on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 06:05:41 AM PDT

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      •  Crist is due to speak at convention (6+ / 0-)

        it would be great if he actively campaigned.

      •  Obama will likely win here regardless of Crist (9+ / 0-)

        The Ryan and Rubio speeches highlight how grieviously Rmoney erred w/ his VP pick, esp as to FL.  As per Mark Warren on the Esquire blog:

        On Thursday night, the dynamic young senator from Florida, Marco Rubio, stunned this convention and the nation with an extraordinary speech of substance and inspiration and uplift, affirming just why Governor Romney made history by picking the youthful Hispanic senator as his running mate. Senator Rubio demonstrated that he will be able to expertly fulfill the dual roles of the vice-presidential nominee, to excite the nation and robustly promote Governor Romney's program while vigorously prosecuting the attack on President Obama with a winning personality... and the rare gift... of actual humor. No? Rubio's not the running mate? Huh. Well, maybe the delegates can still reconsider their choice, because the boy senator electrified the convention with the best speech of the week, and he's got none of Paul Ryan's paper trail or baggage.
        Ryan will, at best, be a wash here, and, assuming that Team Obama focuses its advertising on making sure his views on SS & Medicare are known by all, he will be an obvious liability.  Rubio would've been a huge asset here.  Given how he trounced Crist in 2010, he would've mattered far more than Crist ever can.

        The VP choice is the biggest decision any non-incumbent nominee makes, and Willard totally blew that pick.

        Some men see things as they are and ask why. I dream of things that never were and ask why not?

        by RFK Lives on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 06:55:26 AM PDT

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