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View Diary: Nate Silver: Obama has a 71.6% Chance of Winning the Election (162 comments)

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  •  Yes, his precision appears to be (4+ / 0-)

    much greater than his model's accuracy. But he has said in the past that the reason he uses the number of significant figures he does is simply so that people can see it when small changes are generated by the model. Anyone who actually thinks that Obama has a 71.4% (or whatever it is) chance of winning is probably not a very statistics-oriented person.

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