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View Diary: Nate Silver: Obama has a 71.6% Chance of Winning the Election (162 comments)

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  •  Nate's blog on Mitt's speech strategy, important (2+ / 0-)
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    LordMike, BlueDragon
    Instead, Mr. Romney’s strategy was pretty clear. He was seeking to fulfill the role of the generic Republican — a safe and unobjectionable alternative with a nice family and a nice career – and whose main credential is that he is not Mr. Obama, the Democratic president with tepid approval ratings and middling economic numbers.

    It may be a smart approach. Mr. Obama’s approval ratings remain only break-even. A clear majority of voters still think the country is on the wrong track. Somewhat contrary to the conventional wisdom, the economy does not necessarily point to a defeat for Mr. Obama based on the models that political scientists and economists use to describe it — but it is not making Mr. Obama’s re-election effort easy.

    We knock Mitt for avoiding policy in his speech.  For not humanizing himself with a personality in his speech.  But that's the point: Mitt is trying to DISAPPEAR.  He's trying to be forgettable in policy and personality, so it is a referendum election on Obama.  Obama vs the generic Republican, that guy in the collective US memory like Dirksen or Reagan or Ike, republicans who weren't batshit crazy and who couldn't get a primary victory for dog catcher today.

    .   It was the strategy back before Obama managed to make it more of a choice election, and is complicated by the pick of Ryan and the announcement that this election is about contrasting visions and hard choices.   But there it is.

    "My taxes are of the legally correct height, and the core reason for my campaign is to make them a different, lower height, and it is none of your business what precisely either of those heights might be." Mitt, as channelled by Hunter.

    by Inland on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 07:23:12 AM PDT

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