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View Diary: Excavating the layers of this year's House landscape (103 comments)

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  •  Actually, both are likely to lose (4+ / 0-)

    because of redistricting, though Walsh has been sticking his foot in his mouth almost from Day One, and his legal issues don't help either.  Bartlett hadn't made many mistakes until his nonsensical comments on student loans and the Holocaust and probably also abortion, but again the new district is probably too much to overcome even with a flawless campaign.

    Unlike Bartlett, though, I don't think Anne Marie Buerkle (also an underdog in a 56% Obama seat) was really hurt by redistricting; 80% of the district has been represented by both her and Maffei.  In tone and voting record, she's likely too far to the right for this district, and it would have been hard to draw a seat in New York State where someone like her could count on winning.  She would probably have to be given a conservative GOP vote sink to be clearly favored, and the Dems who held most of the redistricting cards were not going to do that.

    36, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

    by Mike in MD on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 06:45:37 PM PDT

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