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View Diary: The Texas Trend - Red Not Blue? (39 comments)

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  •  I think that your Asian numbers are too high (1+ / 0-)
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    as well. Judging by the percent of the electorate they compose in exit polls (especially California) and turn-out rates amongst eligible voters (lower than Hispanics), I think that you generally divide the percent Asian overall by two to get the percent Asian in the electorate. So it would be 3% Asian, since Harris is 6% Asian.

    Anyways, fascinating stuff!

    by Inoljt on Sat Sep 08, 2012 at 03:27:08 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Asian turnout (2+ / 0-)
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      MichaelNY, Inoljt

      That is a good point, and I probably didn't discount Asian turnout quite as much as I should have.

      Asian VAP in Harris County is 6.7% though (not just 6%). The real % may more likely be 4% than the 5% that I assumed. 3% could be possible, but seems like it might be too low to me.

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