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View Diary: In Virginia, what you do not see in the polls (138 comments)

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  •  Suggest you try some of Bill's arithmetic: (0+ / 0-)

    > Add in the three states that are even more likely -  
    > NH, NV and WI - and the presidential election is done.

    VA x NH x NV x WI = 77% x 86% x 86% x 85% = 48%

    "The Math" sez it's still WAY too early to celebrate.


    I think you're some kind of deviated prevert.

    by ColBatGuano on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 10:19:58 AM PDT

    •  several comments (5+ / 0-)

      1.  no where do I suggest taking the foot off the pedal

      2.  attitudes are increasingly getting locked in

      3.  much of what is happening is Democratic base voters getting turned back on, whether b/c Romney scares them or b/c the convention enthused them or both

      4.  Independents are starting to tilt more towards Obama, in part b/c of how poorly Ryan & Romney are doing in communicating.  People do not by and large connect with them.

      5.  Do NOT underestimate two things

         1.  the intense dislike of tax breaks for millionaires
         2.  the issue of women's reproductive health

      both of those are driving factors with independents, and with turning on and thus turning out Dem base voters.

      "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

      by teacherken on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 10:23:14 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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