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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: With race tightening, DSCC makes an ad buy in Connecticut (188 comments)

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  •  You're more confident than me (0+ / 0-)

    I sense the stories about Warren's ad campaign not working probably are right.  That's specific and "smells right" to me, not the kind of ignorant hand-wringing interested observers sometimes have.  I ignore Dave Catanese relying so much on sparse public polling to write stories that she's down, but there are other tea leaves of real issues.

    On Murphy, it's obvious at this point that he, too, isn't selling himself or attacking McMahon effectively.

    I do think Murphy ends up winning, but I suspect Warren is a tossup heading into election day and no better than 50-50.  She never did build on her early momentum.

    44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Thu Sep 13, 2012 at 07:02:18 AM PDT

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    •  I do not think Warren will win by much, (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Christopher Walker, DCCyclone

      but I am very confident she will win.  The fundamentals are just overwhelming there, and I do not believe Brown can overcome them on personality and faux centrism.  I feel almost exactly the same way about Rick Berg in ND as I do Warren.

      White Male, 36, New FL-14 (Castor), proud father of a 4-year-old daughter. "Who let the dogs out? Who? Who?" - Mitt Romney, MLK Day 2008.

      by spiderdem on Thu Sep 13, 2012 at 07:21:55 AM PDT

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    •  My bigger worry is that the machines in the state (1+ / 0-)
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      aren't turned on for her, so to speak.

      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

      by bjssp on Thu Sep 13, 2012 at 07:36:39 AM PDT

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