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View Diary: Moving the needle from right to left (73 comments)

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  •  The House is still far off (1+ / 0-)
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    not a cent

    Looks to be about 10 Dem pickups there, when 25 are needed to retake the House. Probable near sweep on those tossups, with a few Lean R's as well needed.

    Somewhat daunting task.

    •  It's a start toward what we can do in 2014, right? (0+ / 0-)

      We can't expect unicorns and rainbows, but maybe a pony. : )

      I would like to think that we can take back the house this year, but realistically know we won't. Because no matter how much people scream "throw the bums out," what they really mean is the other party's bums.

      So I am just looking at this year as a good start to what we can do in 2014.

      •  I know no such thing (0+ / 0-)

        I didn't know the Republicans were going to take the House in 2010, and I don't know the Democrats won't flip it in 2012.

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 12:04:42 AM PDT

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        •  I would very much like to be wrong. (1+ / 0-)
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          MichaelNY

          But Nate Silver isn't wrong very often, and his earlier projections showed that us taking control of the House was a long shot. He also predicted in 2010 that it was "very likely" that we would lose the House.

          But, like I said, I would really like to be wrong on this.

          •  I'm not predicting a Democratic flip of the House (0+ / 0-)

            All I'm saying is that it's by no means impossible. For it to happen, things will have to change, but if Romney continues to implode and Republican voters stay home in significant numbers, 2008 could repeat itself.

            Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

            by MichaelNY on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 01:00:40 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  Doesn't (1+ / 0-)
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      MichaelNY

      Doesn't the pick-up of the House largely still depend on the president's margin of victory with everything else factored in?

      I don't know which way this is going to go, but aren't we still leaving out a pretty significant factor?  Everybody's looking micro, but what's happening at the macro level?

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