Skip to main content

View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Two new independent House polls in New York look good for Dems (73 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  NY-25 (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Mark27, LordMike, Aquarius40, SLDemocrat

    I swear to God, NY-25 is tighter than anyone may think. The Maggie Brooks machine should not be underestimated, and Slaughter is only known by 1/3 of the district.  And Slaughter has gone negative first, which should tell you something about how they are viewing that race.

    Maggie Brooks is the premiere GOP candidate in this county. A win here will no doubt be a stepping stone to a Senate run or a run at the Statehouse. Turning her back here is critical.

    •  Heather Wilson (6+ / 0-)

      is the premier GOP candidate in New Mexico.  Linda Lingle is the premier GOP candidate in Hawaii.  They will lose with room to spare, and so will Brooks.  Fundamentals, fundamentals, fundamentals.  It's a polarized electorate and a blue district.  I don't see the GOP threatening these types of districts this time around except in extreme cases like MA-06 and RI-01, which I also think we'll win.  We're going to lose some too, but mostly in redder districts.

      White Male, 36, New FL-14 (Castor), proud father of a 4-year-old daughter. "Who let the dogs out? Who? Who?" - Mitt Romney, MLK Day 2008.

      by spiderdem on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 05:47:14 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Slaughter reps NY-28 and I'm worried too (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Aquarius40, SLDemocrat

      Louise Slaughter is a fantasic, hardworking progressive whom I've been proud to have represent me in Congress since 1986. She barely eked out a victory then in a district that was slightly more Republican than Democratic, and managed to get re-elected through a combination of personal charm (that Kentucky accent) and excellent constituent sevice. She basically represented Rochester and its suburbs. Then redistricting put her in an absurd district that pitted her against the Democrat from Buffalo, LaFalce. He retired, and she hung on in the "earmuff" district, drawn to encompass the majority Dem cores of Buffalo and Rochester, connected by a narrow strip of land along Lake Ontario containing a few cows.
      So Louise had to spend a lot of time and energy making herself known to people in Buffalo. Now, with the latest redistricting, she again represents a district centered ini Rochester, but hasn't been around as much and isn't as well known as she used to be. And her opponent, Maggie Brooks, has the ability to come across as a ice lady, not an abrasive far-righter. Although she's a hack whose county administration has been riddled wtih cronyism. And seems to be getting lots of support from the national Repubs.
      I am very worried. We can't afford to lose Louise.

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site