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View Diary: CNN calls a five-point lead for Barack Obama in swing states a 'tie' (157 comments)

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  •  they are not independent of national polling (0+ / 0-)
    Remember, the first assumption should be uniform swing. If Ohio and Florida figure to be dead even if the national race is dead even, then they figure to show a five point lead for Obama if he's up five nationally. Indeed: if that's the situation, then a new state poll showing uniform swing isn't new information about that state.
    http://plainblogaboutpolitics.blogspot.com/

    "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

    by Greg Dworkin on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 11:01:05 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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