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View Diary: The 39% Polling Floor (114 comments)

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  •  . . . unless he's a Republican. (9+ / 0-)

    In which case he can win with 271 EVs and 48.6 percent of the popular vote and call it a "mandate," and the media will cheerfully parrot it.

    By the standards of previous elections, Obama won a "mandate" in 2008. But tell that to the Republicans in Congress. Hell, tell that to the conservative Democrats.

    "The great lie of democracy, its essential paradox, is that democracy is the first to be sacrificed when its security is at risk. Every state is totalitarian at heart; there are no ends to the cruelty it will go to to protect itself." -- Ian McDonald

    by Geenius at Wrok on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 06:32:08 AM PDT

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    •  Obama certainly won't have a "mandate" this time, (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      kyril, Darmok

      I think.

      Even if he wins 52% of the popular vote this time around (in 2008, it was 52.9%), he probably won't have a Democratic House, and his margin in the Senate is going to be smaller than it was in 2008.  

      •  OTOH a mandate is what you make of it (11+ / 0-)

        In 2006 the Democrats took back the House and got things done, even though they only had 229 seats (218 needed for a majority.)

        The reach and effectiveness of a second Obama term depends on
        A) re-election,
        B) a Democratic majority in the House, and
        C) the spinal quality of Harry Reid. If the Democrats hold on to control of the Senate (an increasingly likely prospect in my book) then the entire 2nd term will depend on Reid's willingness to reform (if not abolish) the filibuster rule in the Senate. There have been some hopeful signs in the last few months, but until and unless we see majoritarian rule in both Houses of Congress, Obama's second term will be stunted.


        "God has given wine to gladden the hearts of people." Psalm 104:15

        by WineRev on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 06:49:00 AM PDT

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