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  •  first rule of daily tracking polls (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    earicicle

    Never assume that daily fluctuations represent people changing their minds.

    Minute daily fluctuations are most likely statistical noise.
    Long-term shifts mostly represent changing degrees of voter engagement.

    There are very few true undecideds in the electorate, and they typically remain in the "undecided" column until the final two weeks.

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