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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: In email, Bono Mack laughs at Coachella as 'third world toilet' (104 comments)

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  •  That's somewhat worrying actually (0+ / 0-)

    Star trib polls always skew Dem a few points.

    30, (new) MA-7, Unenrolled

    Truman: "The buck stops here!"
    Romney: "The buck stops somewhere in the next county..."

    by Marcus Graly on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 08:53:17 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Let's look at the statewideSTRIB polls of late (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Marcus Graly, stevenaxelrod

      2010 Governor: October 18-21, Dayton 41, Emmer 34. This one was off the mark by having a TON of undecideds, the undecideds obviously went in favor of Emmer by a lopsided margin.

      2008 POTUS: October 29-31. Obama 53, McCain 44. Actual results Obama 54, McCain 44. This poll, AFAIAC was right on the nuts.

      2008 Senate: October 21, Franken 39, Coleman 36, Barkley 18. Actual result was Franken 42, Coleman 42, Barkley 15. The STRIB was off by a few points, but not all that far off, and the predicted the right winner.

      2006 Governor: November 4, Hatch 45, Pawlenty 40. This one needs a HUGE asterisk. Every single poll by every pollster showed Hatch winning all the way back to September. The problem is that the last couple days of the election, Hatched called a reporter a "whore" and hung up on her when she called. This caused a HUGE ruckus and ultimately cost him the election.

      2006 Senate: November 4, Klobuchar 54, Kennedy 34. The Star Tribune hit the 20-point margin exactly.

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