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View Diary: Cherokee Nation chief condemns Scott Brown staff for 'downright racist' actions (164 comments)

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  •  I'm calling this race right now (10+ / 0-)

    Brown lost the race and his career by playing that card.

    It's over.

    He simultaneously lost his "good guy" cred by ripping off his  "pickup truck and a beer" mask and taking it one step further with this not even thinly veiled racist attack.

    Don't even bother worrying about the polling on this race, Warren is going to crush this loser.  He just sank his political career in a thirty second sound bite.

    I bet the next poll that comes out with this factored in will show Warren up by 10 or more points.

    What an absolute idiot. Don't know if his handlers told him to do that or it was his idea, but if he got paid advice to say that they should never work again in politics.

    "Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain!"

    by jkay on Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 10:24:43 AM PDT

    •  Strategies in losing situations (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jkay, LSophia, paxpi, nellgwen
      What an absolute idiot.
      I used to program video games for a living. One area of programming that I did is making the artificial intelligence for the computer player, to decide what the computer player should do to try and beat the human player.

      Programming the A.I. for most of the game is pretty difficult but you can generally analyse a set of moves that could be made, rate them on which is the most likely to succeed and then choose the best one.

      However there is an extra difficult scenario to program; when the computer player is losing and all choices lead to loss.

      Because none of the choices that can be made lead to a desirable result it's really easy for the computer player to appear to be really stupid or insane in their decision making process when they are losing.

      There is a probably something similar happening in Scott Brown's campaign. As all the sensible choices he can make all appear (to him) to lead to an inevitable defeat, it's really difficult to choose a sensible option.

      Instead he's choosing a 'move' that appears to be dumb, but it has a small chance of 'success' and so it is 'better' than all than all the choices that he knows will lead to defeat.

      A similar thing happened with the McCain-Palin team in 2008 towards the end of the campaign (I can't remember any examples except asking 'Joe' the 'Plumber' to join him campaigning) as Obama's lead started to become insurmountable. I won't be surprised if the Romney campaign also starts to making (even more) apparently insane choices in the near future.

      And besides, the Republican employment net for defeated candidates will see Brown have a nice income from Fox News, speeches and think tanks, so there's no need for him to try and maintain his appearance of reasonableness for a post-senator political career.

      Good, quick, cheap. Choose two.

      by Danack on Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 10:50:52 AM PDT

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      •  That is certainly... (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        futilitismo, LSophia, nellgwen

        ....an interesting perspective you bring to his "strategy"!

        I thought it was kind of early to throw the "hail mary", to give a name to your scenario, but OK.

        I didn't think the polls had gotten away from him, but maybe they felt it slipping away, who knows.

        Here's the thing, though. The one true thing that this empty suit had going for him was this perception that he was "one of them", a "good" guy. It sounds kind of simplistic and trite, but that can overcome a lot of deficiencies.

        Look at Reagan & Bush. One was dumber than the next, but Reagan was the "great communicator", and Bush got people to believe he was the guy you wanted to have a hamburger with, even though that was total BS.

        Bush is not a nice guy, and he's not a good guy, he fooled everybody, just like Brown fooled everybody.

        Well, the costume party is over for Mr. Brown

        Permanently.  Stick a fork in him, his done.

        "Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain!"

        by jkay on Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 11:04:36 AM PDT

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      •  It's a classic "limits to growth" scenario (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        jkay, nellgwen

        Brown's team thought they had the winning move, race bating, but it is starting to develop a negative feedback loop that they are not noticing because they are trapped within their own reality bubble. This is a classic "limits to growth scenario".

        As they were not seeing the balancing feedback loop (negative impressions of Brown), when the polls started to slide they responded by amplifying the "solution", race bating, not realizing that that was actually fueling their decline.

        To continue growth Brown needed to be aware of and defuse the feedback loop, in this case the erosion of his nice guy image by toning down his rhetoric and generalizing and "purifying" the "lesson" about Warren. This was beyond his abilities and so he is now reaping the consequences. Good riddance.

        "There are two kinds of truth, small truth and great truth. You can recognize a small truth because its opposite is a falsehood. The opposite of a great truth is another truth." -- Niels Bohr

        by paxpi on Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 11:44:50 AM PDT

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        •  I think that feedback loop... (0+ / 0-)

          ...has kind of "blown up" in their face!

          Never heard that particular jargon before, are you a scientist?

          I liked your analysis.

          "Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain!"

          by jkay on Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 12:20:59 PM PDT

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          •  Here is a link with diagrams (0+ / 0-)

            http://en.wikipedia.org/...

            Scroll down a bit, limits to growth is the first one:

            "The unprecedented growth is produced by a reinforcing feedback process until the system reaches its peak. The halt of this growth is caused by limits inside or outside of the system. However, if the limits are not properly recognized; the former methods are continuously applied, but more and more aggressively. This results in the contrary of the desired state – a decrease of the system. The solution lies in the weakening or elimination of the cause of limitation."

            Put another way, in the words of H. Thomas Johnson, "With any natural living system an overemphasis of any single factor eventually becomes toxic." Campaigns are, of course, natural living systems.

            If this interests you check out Peter Senge's book "The Fifth Discipline". The Fifth Discipline is "systems thinking" and Senge focuses on modeling systems using causal diagrams so as to identify the often counter intuitive solution to problems.

            That will get you the theory. For a hands on cook book check out "System Concepts in Action" by Bob Williams.

            "There are two kinds of truth, small truth and great truth. You can recognize a small truth because its opposite is a falsehood. The opposite of a great truth is another truth." -- Niels Bohr

            by paxpi on Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 01:10:51 PM PDT

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            •  Aha (0+ / 0-)

              Actual science applied to management "science".  Guess I needed to get that MBA, never got around to that in undergrad B school. As an acct., I never bought into much of that stuff anyway.

              Maybe there is something to it. Thanks.

              "Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain!"

              by jkay on Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 01:39:41 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

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