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  •  important question (1+ / 0-)
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    Some strategists in the GOP think a win this year would result in a weak one term presidency for Mitt, and a trouncing in 2016. Whereas their chances in 2016, after 8 years of Obama, will be much better.

    So we really do need to figure out who can follow Obama. I would add Julian Castro to your list, although it is probably too early for him.

    •  It depends on how Obama does in his second term (5+ / 0-)

      I believe Barack Obama will be a much greater president in his second term than in his first simply because he recognizes there's a lot of unfinished business he has to take care of.

      What strategists in the GOP fail to recognize is how much damage President Bush has done for America, as well as its relations in the Middle East.  Obama is still cleaning up Bush's mess.

      Assuming Obama accomplishes a lot in his second term and fulfills promises that he didn't finish (including closing Gitmo), it's going to be hard for the GOP to convince voters that voting Republican will be the way to go.  No one, with the exception of former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, will be able to excite voters without being divisive unless the GOP really digs deep and starts to think hard.

      Also, whoever is running in 2016 should really meet with and take advantage of Obama's campaign team.  They've become very organized, powerful, on point and very quick to respond back to attacks.  In fact, I would argue Obama's campaign team has been more organized and effective than the operation James Carville ran in 1992 for Bill Clinton.

    •  Not necessarily (0+ / 0-)

      That assumes Obama's accomplishments in his second term are weak, and that the Republican party successfully steps back from the ledge, routs the teabaggers, and returns to sanity. If not, no years in the foreseeable future will look good for them, with increasing Hispanic population, younger people more tolerant of LGBT rights, women and older people angry at them for their positions on women's rights and Social Security/Medicare etc etc.

      If the GOP's response to losing is to get crazier, i think they have in shot in 2016. We'll see what they do.

      Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07.

      by anastasia p on Sun Sep 30, 2012 at 04:58:03 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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