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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: National Democrats make move into Arizona Senate race (162 comments)

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  •  Looks more legit than the VA one (2+ / 0-)
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    LordMike, MartyM

    Obama has fallen back among Independents from a single-digits lead to a single-digits deficit, according to this.

    However the age-profile of their projected FL electorate is starting to be an issue. In 2008 under-45s were around 40% of the electorate; in their previous FL poll it was something like 34-35% and now it's closer to 30%. There is evidence that youth engagement is down a bit from 4 years ago but a shift on this scale would be pretty surprising. It makes quite a difference to Obama's overall numbers as he wins the under-45 vote handily while losing among over-45s. With a 2008 age profile he would be ahead by a couple more points in FL.

    •  Can Obama win Florida? (1+ / 0-)
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      considering all the draconian voter suppression laws passed by the GOP legislature including severe restrictions and fines on voter registrations - $5,000 a day per registration that was not submitted within a 48 hour period of signing.

      It was so bad that the League of Women Voters refused to register voters - hence, Democratic registrations are wayyyy down.

      "Tax cuts for the 1% create jobs." -- Republicans, HAHAHA - in China

      by MartyM on Wed Oct 03, 2012 at 06:02:37 AM PDT

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      •  When it was closer at the beginning of the year... (1+ / 0-)
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        ...during GOP primary season I had already written off Florida for Obama... I guess we're back to numbers like that already... I definitely do not trust Florida's handling of the election, and if this is close I will be shocked if Obama wins.

        Disappointing numbers to say the least. I would think Medicare would be important enough for seniors to give FL to Obama again.

        "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

        by xsonogall on Wed Oct 03, 2012 at 06:46:07 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  The GOP had to cancel their registration drive (1+ / 0-)
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        and despite the change in law, Dems are way ahead of Republicans in new voter registration even though the 2012 numbers are down from 2008.

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