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View Diary: Open thread: Heyyy wealthy ladies! (70 comments)

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  •  Nate Silver 2 hrs ago: "Get a grip, people." (4+ / 0-)
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    Gemina13, hungrycoyote, vcmvo2, bluedust

    That about sums it up. The media is highlighting Pew because it's the most exciting story, but it's a single poll reinforcing what we already knew.

    The Pew poll is not the beginning of a trend but a late reminder of the bounce we already saw late last week.

    All of the tracking polls tell us that the Saturday/Sunday data trended back towards Obama. That indicates that it's very possible that most of the Pew data came from Thursday/Friday with less interviews conducted over the weekend (which is normal for non-tracking polls and was exactly what happened with the PPP poll as well).

    Shorter version: just because Pew is the latest poll doesn't mean it's the latest data.

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