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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/5 (morning edition) (358 comments)

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  •  At this point (7+ / 0-)

    MT-Sen and ND-Sen are our toughest holds (I'm counting NE-Sen as gone already).  If we can hold both of those seats, we're headed for nice gains in the Senate, a big turnaround from GOP confidence of control of the chamber just earlier this year.

    •  What do you think about Indiana and Arizona? (4+ / 0-)

      I'm pretty confident about our chances there. We have candidates that fit the states pretty well and who have run great campaigns. I also think Obama's going to do a lot better there than people think he is, even if he doesn't win either of them.

      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

      by bjssp on Fri Oct 05, 2012 at 09:33:49 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Both tough in their own ways (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        JGibson, MichaelNY, JBraden

        Indiana has historically been more Republican, but Mourdock's a worse candidate than Flake.  I think both states will return only modest victories for Romney, perhaps in the 3 to 5 point range, so we don't have as much of a headwind this year.  They're both just about pure tossups to me at this point.  If I absolutely had to make a call, I think both Carmona and Donnelly will barely win if Obama continues to look dominant.

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