Skip to main content

View Diary: Obama's post-debate polling collapse that isn't (303 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  4 to 6 pt bounce for Romney. Game-changer. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    belzaboo, regnaDkciN

    I think the correct spread on the IPSOS poll is actually 46-44 now.  In any case, it's extremely difficult, if not impossible, to discern trends out of these trackers.  There are simply too many variables involved and the sampling is so small on a daily basis.  I've seen some analysis which indicates that the MOE on a daily sample is 8-10%!

    I think we'll see the real results of the debate in the next round of national polling.  You could also pick the bounce up in some of the statistically significant state polling that is being done now.  We'll know soon.

    The results will not be pretty.  The debate changed the way people view Obama.  He was listless, disinterested and entirely unprepared.  People lost faith in Obama and now question whether he is up to the task.  I think the debate changed the fundamental dynamics of this race and I truly believe that the race will be dead-even within 7-10 days.

    I think Romney will get a 4-6 pt bounce from the debate and that it will be lasting.  If Obama gets run over again on the next debate, it's game over.  

    Trust-Fund Kids of America Unite... save the Bush tax cuts!

    by JCPOK on Fri Oct 05, 2012 at 01:18:55 PM PDT

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site