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View Diary: Obama's post-debate polling collapse that isn't (303 comments)

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    When were the last polls taken? I don't know how the Rasmussen Reports swing state polls work.

    If those polls were from October 3rd and October 4th then I agree is no real movement. If they were from September 20 and September 10, however, then I think we have to compare to recent polls while controlling for bias.

    The most recent (non-Rasmussen Reports) polls from the Virginia and Florida show Obama with a very narrow 2 or so point edge. Assuming Rasmussen Reports is not biased, it would seem that Obama has lost about 3-4 points on Romney. Even if there is some bias, then Obama has still lost 1-2 points. However, I looked at the Rasmussen Reports polls of those states from the last month or two and they were generally in line with the other polling from the same time frame with occasional exceptions.

    The day may come, when the rest of the animal creation may acquire those rights which never could have been withholden from them but by the hand of tyranny.

    by Tetris on Fri Oct 05, 2012 at 01:32:45 PM PDT

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