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View Diary: Gravis Marketing Exposed As A Fraud (via Democratic Underground) (108 comments)

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  •  Here's a recent one (5+ / 0-)

    I don't think this is the one with Latina Jews... that one had a report over 100 pages, this one is just 44. The ridiculous cross-tabs start on page 9 and run until the end.

    Gravis Florida 9-29It is a PDF.

    I don't find this is necessarily proof of anything (except stupidity) ... I suspect that Doug simply ran the computer analysis and doesn't know enough about polling to understand what is and isn't significant in the numbers that spew out. He then throws them all up in a report thinking they give him credibility.

    My friends, love is better than anger. Hope is better than fear. Optimism is better than despair. So let us be loving, hopeful and optimistic. And we’ll change the world - Jack Layton

    by terjeanderson on Sun Oct 07, 2012 at 03:26:16 PM PDT

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    •  It's worse than that (10+ / 0-)

      They say the poll had a sample size of 914 respondents.  One person would therefore be 0.109% of the sample.  Rounded to the nearest hundredth of a percent, that would be 0.11%.  They give several categories as 0.10%, which is simply impossible, unless they rounded down.  But OK, maybe they rounded down, although why they'd do that I have no idea.

      But it gets worse.  They give some percentages that are 0.05% or even lower.  For example, on the tablulation of likelihood to vote by Zimmerman guilty, they report 0.07% as being somewhat likely to vote and "don't know" on Zimmerman's guilt, plus another 0.07% as being somewhat likely to vote and "unsure" on the Zimmerman guilt question.  Either there was nobody who was in either of those categories, or there was one person, and the percentage should have been 0.00% or 0.11% (or possibly 0.10%).

      Similarly, they report 0.05% of respondents as being Jewish and of "Other/Unsure" race.  They report 0.06% as believing America is on the right track and of "Other/Unsure" race, and 0.06% of respondents being Muslim and that the U.S. is headed in the right direction.  They report 0.07% of respondents as being Muslims who believe America is headed in the right direction.

      Bin Laden is dead. GM and Chrysler are alive.

      by leevank on Sun Oct 07, 2012 at 04:08:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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