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View Diary: Abbreviated Pundit Round-up: Where the race stands (188 comments)

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  •  women worry me. the polls (1+ / 0-)
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    have them all over the place.

    i got yelled at for saying a woman is dumb if she votes for romney, but she isnt smart.

    and i am a woman- we have dumb women too -unfortunately

    "With malice toward none, with charity for all..." -Abraham Lincoln not a modern republican

    by live1 on Wed Oct 10, 2012 at 04:59:02 AM PDT

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    •  one bad debate can be handled (3+ / 0-)
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      brooklynbadboy, tb mare, USA Driver

      and Obama still win, and hopefully Democrats all over win.

      but any more of that shit and we have a real problem.

      An ambulance can only go so fast - Neil Young

      by mightymouse on Wed Oct 10, 2012 at 05:48:18 AM PDT

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    •  Swing voters "try on" positions (3+ / 0-)

      I learned this from my years supervising call center interviewers. My shop happen to be one of a handful tasked with tracking the Nation's mood on "HillaryCare" for some portion of the Medical Industrial Complex (Big Health Insurance probably) and we also did the daily tracking for the Minnesota Governor's race that resulted in Jesse Ventura winning. In the movement in both polls, I saw the eventual swing voters "try on" one candidate or position, then another. With Minnesota Governor, Ventura was a distant 3rd more than 6 weeks out, was still 3rd 4 weeks out and came on like gangbusters in the last 2 weeks of the race. In the beginning, most of the "trying on" by swing voters was switching between Skip Humphrey and Norm Coleman, at least according to our daily tracking, but 5 weeks out you could see Ventura grabbing and holding onto a percent of the sample almost nightly.

      In short, swing voters tend to want to declare a "1st impressions feel" then weigh the ramifications and implications. They don't have the same baseline values that partisan voters do, so they have no other frame of reference to evaluate candidates. It really is like trying on a suit or dress, then having a look in the 3-panel mirror and/or have shopping buddies give you input. You don't buy every dress or suit you try on.

      Just my perspective on this.

      When you are right you cannot be too radical; when you are wrong, you cannot be too conservative. --Martin Luther King Jr.

      by Egalitare on Wed Oct 10, 2012 at 06:15:18 AM PDT

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