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View Diary: Devastating Cross Tabs Destroy the Pew Poll (188 comments)

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  •  Please. (6+ / 0-)

    This is not a bogus poll.  Let's not get all stupid like the right wing.

    I think this poll accurately captures, at a high resolution, exactly what other pollsters were seeing in the same period.  The Pew RV top line numbers are tied which is entirely consistent with what Gallup saw Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

    If Gallup had released LV numbers during that same period, you'd very likely have seen a 3-4 point Romney lead which is exactly what you're seeing in this poll.

    Indeed, Ras had Romney leading plus two among likely voters, and his survey has reverted to a tie.  Gallup has reverted to a 5+ Obama lead among RVs which implies Obama has a slim national lead of 1-2% among likely voters.  I think the Gallup LV survey coming out tomorrow will likely confirm this.

    Have you googled Romney today?

    by fou on Mon Oct 08, 2012 at 11:16:19 PM PDT

    •  So you really believe (1+ / 0-)
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      that Obama lost his double digit lead among women after just one day of a debate?

      •  What you do is throw this poll (1+ / 0-)
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        in with others coming out and then make a trajectory.  And for what is coming out is not in Obama's favor.  Did Romney pick off that many women, I am doubtful, but with a lackluster Obama performance women DID look at him and many for a first time.  Huge missed opportunity by the Obama Campaign, over 60m PPL watched?  Brace yourself for other polling coming out and the Obama Team knows they fucked up.  Hopefully, Biden will be gaffe free and stem the bounce.

      •  You really don't understand how to read (1+ / 0-)
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        polls if you're asking that question.  Short answer: no.

        Have you googled Romney today?

        by fou on Tue Oct 09, 2012 at 08:15:18 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  This is not about reading polls (0+ / 0-)

          It's about asking whether you believe that the said poll reflects reality.

          But I appreciate that you answered my question - which is that you don't believe that Obama lost his double-digit lead among women. Which means that you believe he STILL leads Romney by double digits - which makes the polls showing Romney on par with PBO inaccurate according to your belief.

          Thanks for not only answering my question, but agreeing with me that this poll is not valid.

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