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View Diary: National Vote Does Not Decide Election (7 comments)

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  •  That baby doesn't look terribly pleased (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LieparDestin, Wee Mama, Cedwyn

    to be used as a photo op moment for the Romney campaign.  

    Raising the baby up like that makes me wonder if Romney is about to strap her in a cage to the roof of a car.  No wonder the baby is not smiling.  

    Romney does continue to have an electoral college problem, and it still looks like a pretty big one.  We've all looked at the post-debate polling, but in order for Romney to win the election, he has to exceed all current arithmetic in the swing states where the election will be decided.

    He'd have to be even with Obama among women and Latinos, for example, and while the polling suggests a tighter percentage, the threshold doesn't seem to have been reached.  Obama still leads in those key demographic voting groups nationally.  I'm not seeing any data which suggest he is of a sudden losing those groups in the swing states.  

    It seems to me if Obama continues to lead over Romney's competitive threshold in those voting groups in for example Ohio and Virginia, there is no likely arithmetic for Romney to win in the electoral college.  

    •  Now thats the (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Remediator, Wee Mama

      fact oriented optimism I like to see at Dailykos! Thanks for the input

      •  I failed to praise the Obama team's (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LieparDestin, Wee Mama

        ground game and should have given it a shout out.

        They have been motivated for his re-election from the very beginning and the enthusiasm and zing are still visibly present.  

        Romney has never been held as fondly by his supporters, which is why I think his threshold arithmetic is simply not there.

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