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View Diary: On elections and 'likely voters' (180 comments)

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  •  great questions, but big apples/oranges problems (1+ / 0-)
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    You can look at Gallup polls going back for many years, because, well, Gallup has been polling for many years. They don't have much competition for longevity. But so much has changed over time that it is hard to do fair comparisons. What is the right way to compare the accuracy of one poll in For starters, how should we compare the accuracy of one poll in the 1936 election to the accuracy of many different polls in 2008?

    The National Council on Public Polls has a roundup for presidential elections from 1936-2000, plus additional reports for subsequent elections, that should give you a decent baseline.

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    Better Know Your Voting System with the Verifier!

    by HudsonValleyMark on Sun Oct 14, 2012 at 12:29:27 PM PDT

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