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View Diary: Ohio math: Willard must win non early votes by ???? (71 comments)

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  •  This is a really good point. (0+ / 0-)

    Might be premature celebration unless we can clear this up.

    "There are two kinds of truth, small truth and great truth. You can recognize a small truth because its opposite is a falsehood. The opposite of a great truth is another truth." -- Niels Bohr

    by paxpi on Sat Oct 13, 2012 at 06:54:50 PM PDT

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    •  My slightly educated guess (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Vote4Obamain2012, paxpi, Supavash

      is that Obama must be going gangbusters in early voting in Cleveland, Akron, Youngstown and Toledo--where the Democratic path to victory usually starts in Ohio.  Probably getting close to his 2008 numbers in the Dayton, Columbus and Cincy city propers as well.

      Which means Romney probably has to absolutely run it up in the Dayton, Columbus and Cincy burbs to flip Ohio.  

      Romney-Ryan: America's Rollback Team

      by Christian Dem in NC on Sat Oct 13, 2012 at 07:02:09 PM PDT

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      •  The problem is (6+ / 0-)

        that those GOP exurbs have pretty much reached their voter ceiling, meaning it would be hard to create more voters there. Turnout is always the issue for Democrats. For instance, Cleveland's poorest suburb, East Cleveland (95% black), historically has a turnout problem. East Cleveland is early voting in very large numbers. OFA has an office there, and turnout is their focus. They don't need to persuade — they just need to get everyone to the polls.

        Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07. http://www.ewaynepowell.com/

        by anastasia p on Sat Oct 13, 2012 at 07:13:05 PM PDT

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