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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: A plateau for the 'Romney Bounce'? (365 comments)

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  •  Where we stand! (2+ / 0-)
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    LordMike, Midwesterners

    The most disappointing news to me this weekend was the Gallup tracker, which had three great days drop off for Romney (thurs - sat), and Obama actually lost ground.  When you add that to the PPP numbers number supposedly out tomorrow, and to the Gallup battleground today, I hope we are not seeing the bottom fall out.  On the opposite side, most all of the other state polling, national polling, and trackers seems to have moved in Obama's direction this weekend.

    If we aggregate everything, we are probably at +1 or +2 for Romney at the national level, and a very slight lead for Obama at the EC level.  Assuming Obama, has a serviceable debate tomorrow night, he should close that National gap.  He need not win, just look engaged and state his case.  Bringing Democrats home and recapturing a small percentage of Indy's who have flipped from Obama to Romney should get about 2 points at the National Level.  With the advantage in the EC, Obama should be able to grind out a win with a close National vote!    

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