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View Diary: ABC/WaPo: O 49/ R 46 LV (410 comments)

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  •  Low Beta (1+ / 0-)
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    Clyde the Cat

    They just don't swing much and have a shown a close race all along. When other pollsters showed a huge Obama lead in mid-September, WaPo showed a +2 for Obama with a big "Obama's not really leading!!!" headline. We hated it here. Now they show an even bigger lead for Obama and it's a tonic. Typically, pollsters who peg Party ID (Rasmussen) will get the low beta. But WaPo doesn't peg party ID so it's curious why they show little movement.

    Pew, BTW, has always been one of the highest beta pollsters. I wonder if it's because their polls take such a long time to answer that only enthusiastic respondents make it through the call.

    •  Beta? (0+ / 0-)

      If we covered the concept in my undergrad stats classes, I've forgotten. Could you brief s on what "beta" is please?

      "There is nothing more dreadful than the habit of doubt. Doubt separates people. It is a poison that disintegrates friendships and breaks up pleasant relations. It is a thorn that irritates and hurts; it is a sword that kills.".. Buddha

      by sebastianguy99 on Mon Oct 15, 2012 at 08:41:23 AM PDT

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